1.50 Ascot: Mischievous Milly and the Strong travelling Dark Spirit both look good back-to-lays in this 3 mile chase. They are both stepping up to 3 miles but both travel well; especially Dark Spirit while Mischievous Milly should be better for her reappearance run last time out when going well late on before tiring after making mistakes over the third and third last hurdles. Mischievous Milly trades at 7.0 while Dark Spirit is around 9.8; you could back them both and lay back at 40% of the back price to make a profit if just one of them trades low enough.
3.00 Ascot: Sprinter Sacre has an amazing win strike-rate but has to be vulnerable in this 2 mile 1 furlong chase first time out after over a year off through injury. Nicky Henderson doesn’t seem to be giving much away regards how he will perform but there does seem to be very positive vibes coming from the Paul Nicholls yard about Dodging Bullets who put in a great performance last time out.
Without injury Sprinter Sacre would probably be around 1.2 for this race but I wouldn’t want to be laying evens about him but I would chance 1.5 in-running as he travels so well and if he’s back to somewhere near his best he wins. I would chance a little at 1.5 in-running that he won’t be fully wound-up and this will be stepping stone to Cheltenham later.
3.15 Haydock: Benbens has been in great form and has traded below half his BSP in his last 11 runs and today’s race looks another great opportunity to do so again. He currently trades around 8.4 for a back-to-lay.
No comments:
Post a Comment