Saturday 6 September 2014

06/09/2014 In-Running Lays: Back-to-lay Safety Check and Es Que Love

1.55 Ascot: Safety Check has been traded below half his BSP in all his 12 runs to date and should be backed to do the same again.  Last time out he was restrained at the back of the field and made modest head-way just enough to just trade low enough but his best performances have been when leading or being right behind the pace so hopefully it will be same today with Cam Hardie on board to claim 5lb to aid his cause.

3.35 Kempton: Mystery Drama has been running really consistently and is worth chancing a back-to-lay with split stakes as he can trade really low coming with a late run.

3.40 Thirsk: Master the World won last time out and should go close again, try a back-to-lay if you are able to get on at 6.0+.

3.50 Haydock: Es Que Love has turned in some great performances recently including a group 2 win last time out over 7 furlongs.  He drops down to 6 furlongs for this sprint that will be no problem to him and although he shouldn't be good enough to win it he should travel well till late in the race and any more rain would surely help him further. Astaire will most probably blast off in-front but everyone seems wise to him folding late on so it could be a struggle to lay off a back-to-lay in-running so is best avoided.

4.45 Kempton: Bold Runner is worth a back-to-lay if you can get on at 6.0+. He seems to really like the all-weather and recently stepped up to 2 mile and went very close so today’s race conditions should be perfect for him.

6.50 Wolverhampton: If Flying Power gets to the lead he should stay there long enough to get a back-to-lay matched.  He won last time out on and should go close again around 12.0.

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