| 15/07/2014 | 21:00 Killarney | Bally Longford | ||||
| 15/07/2014 | 20:30 Killarney | Close Review | ||||
| 15/07/2014 | 19:40 Thirsk | Native Falls | ||||
| 15/07/2014 | 16:30 Beverley | Real Tigress | ||||
| 15/07/2014 | 16:30 Beverley | Zaitsev | ||||
| 15/07/2014 | 15:30 Beverley | New Tarabela | ||||
| 15/07/2014 | 17:15 Bath | Douneedahand | ||||
| 15/07/2014 | 16:45 Bath | Extrasolar | ||||
| 15/07/2014 | 15:15 Bath | Bahamian Heights |
‘Bahamian heights’ has been running great lately and will love the firm ground. This will be his first run in handicap company but despite carrying top weight he should enjoy a good run and possibly lead in this lower grade race for a successful trade.
The drop down to 5 furlongs seems to have suited ‘Extra
Solar’ well with a win at Salisbury over good to firm 2 runs back and last time
when trading as low as 2.42 from a BSP of 34.15. He usually makes a late charge which should
see his drop for a trade out to double up.
‘Douneedahand’ has been running exclusively on the all-weather
of late but does have some good performances on turf including a win here at
bath.
‘New Tarbela’ very rarely travels well in his races and is
quite often pushed along early in his races but does stay on and this step up
to 2 miles should suit. It could pay to
try and get on in-running in the first half of the race if he is being pushed
along and his odds drift out and then look to lay off if as usual he stays on.
‘Zaitsev’ has traded below half his BSP in his last 12 runs
and would be one of the best chances of the day for a double up. While ‘Zaitsev’ should lead the race ‘Real
Tigress’ if running her race will be challenging late on so it could be worth
playing both these at around 40% of BSP.
If only one of them hits the target price then you will be in profit but
if both do then even better.
Bahamian Heights was slow away and rousted along to get on terms, he did trade down to 7.6 after going off at 14.04 on BSP, just a fraction off 50% of BSP.
ReplyDeleteNew Tarabella ended up travelling well early in the race to then find nothing when it came to the end of the race so did not enable us to get on in running.
Zaitsev broke well and took up the running and traded down to 3.00 from his BSP of 3.9 but probably went off too fast for the price to contract enough as the pack closed in and Real Tigress came down 1.65 in-running from the BSP of 5.09.
Native falls was always in control in the sprint and held on for victory.
Bally Longford took up the running in the last race at Killarney and traded down to 1.65 from his BSP of 4.8 for a nice trade to finish off. The horse looked to have the upper hand against the race favourite but fell at the last fence and £579 was matched at 1000 on Betfair.
It’s hard to understand why someone would leave £576 up to be layed at 1000 in a jumps race when leading at the last as no one would ever have match that bet unless it was certain to get beat. Someone at the course or with fast in-running pictures with over half a million pounds in their Betfair account to lay the bet made the easiest £579 they could ever make by insidiously laying the faller from someone doing something without any common sense!
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