Thursday, 31 July 2014

31/07/2014 In-Running Lays

The 15:45 at Goodwood is an interesting race with several group one winning horses taking in this group three for fillies.  Nymphea is sure to set the pace so should make for an in-running profit with a back-to-lay.  Waila and Talent generally sit out the back so it may be worth trying to get on these in-running.  Waila is stepping up from listed to group three but is progressive while Talent is a Oaks winner who is stepping down to group three company and if you look at her three wins to date she has traded at least five times her BSP in-running before winning those events, checkout Talent in-running.

The best in-running opportunity by far has to be Safety Check who runs in the 16:50 at Goodwood.  He has traded below half his BSP in all his 10 runs to date and last time traded as low as 3.05 from his BSP of 38.0 so a back-to-lay with split stakes at 40% and 20% of the back price is worth a shot.

Elsewhere away from Goodwood Endless credit could be worth an in-running lay in the 16:40 at Nottingham – he seems to have been supported for this race and is now the current favourite for this event. In the following race at Nottingham Bronze Bow is worth taking on in-running as he travels really well up with the pace and regularly finds himself in front going in to the final furlong to be beaten far too often.

Moulin De La Croix runs in the 15:20 at Stratford and could well be worth looking to lay short in-running if he does trade below 20% of his BSP.

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